Friday, June 29, 2012

Income Planning For Rising Taxes

The Bush Tax cuts are set to expire in January of 2013, which will prove to be a major problem for many investors.  This is especially true considering we have spent more money as a nation over the last 4 years than any other time in US history, bringing the debt toll to over $4.5 trillion since 2008.  This drastic spike in spending is likely to be followed by a steady increase in Federal income taxes.  It’s not a question of if, only a question of when.

Since 1913 the average marginal tax rate has exceeded 60%, and today our Federal income tax bracket caps out at 35%.  Considering we are at almost half the average Federal tax rate today, what do you think is likely to happen with Federal income taxes moving forward?  It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that the only way to offset our federal deficit is to decrease spending and raise taxes.  Moving forward, especially with the excessive Federal stimulus, I am of the opinion that decreased spending is going to be more of a dream than a reality.   

Do you have a contingency plan in order to offset rising taxes?  Most Americans are unprepared to deal with a decrease of net spendable dollars due to inflation and rising taxes coming around the corner.  Today, most retirement plans are 100% taxable upon withdrawal and cannot be withdrawn prior to 59 ½ years old without a penalty.  These are pretax dollar funds that are usually accumulated through an IRA, 401k, or equivalent deferred compensation vehicle.  Although these vehicles grow tax deferred, they are subject to ordinary income taxes upon withdrawal.  Not to mention after 70 ½ years of age the IRS makes it mandatory that every citizen who owns a pretax dollar account must withdrawal a certain percentage, known as required minimum distribution. The traditional way of financial planning taught investors to minimize their current tax bracket with the assumption they will be paying less taxes in retirement.  With the amount of Federal stimulus we’ve had over the last 4 years, that reasoning is out the window.  These are some of the reasons why many younger investors, and those preparing for retirement in the next 5-10 years, are looking to post-tax deferred compensation plans that can allow for withdrawals exempt from Federal income tax (if properly structured). 

Life insurance products such as Indexed Universal Life (IUL) are being utilized as deferred compensation plans in order to offset rising federal income taxes, market volatility, and the threat of hyper inflation.  Deposits into IUL policies are post tax dollar funds, meaning you have already paid Federal income tax on the money you deposit into these products.  Funds within this policy grow tax deferred, and there is no restriction on what age you can withdrawal the funds out at.  Furthermore, there is no restriction on the amount you can deposit annually; unlike an IRA.  Since all IUL products are life insurance policies that come with an accelerated death benefit, the policy owner is able to withdrawal the funds exempt from Federal income taxes through a loan that they take against the death benefit (assuming the policy is structured as a non MEC from the start of the policy).  Since the policy owner is taking a loan against themselves, interest on the loan is not deemed payable on an annual basis.  The interest on the loan will accumulate at a low interest rate that is not due until the death of the contract owner (the policy owner has the option to pay off the interest at their discretion during their lifetime).  At the time of death the total loan balance is subtracted from the death benefit and the remainder of the funds goes to the beneficiary tax free.  So now we see how tax free income is possible, let’s take a closer look at the true benefits of these products.    

Policy owners in IUL products never lost a penny, even during the worst years of the recession, and have achieved moderate returns that have beaten any other fixed product available.  IUL policies are able to do this through a concept known as annual reset and interest crediting methods known as indexing.  Annual reset is a method that allows your cash value to reset each year regardless of how the market performs, while indexing allows you to accumulate interest based on the performance of an indexed fund, like the S & P 500.  When the market goes south you will simply break even; or in some policies earn a small rate of return, also known as a floor rate.  Conversely, when the market goes up you will receive a portion of the market upside; commonly referred to as a cap.  Investors are willing to trade all of the upside of the market in exchange for a financial product that will never lose a penny to market volatility with capped earnings.  I find it fitting to think of this as a batting average.  The analogy being that investors in these products are not trying to hit a home run, but instead are focusing on hitting singles and doubles; thus increasing their batting average.  The theory is, the more runners you get on base the greater chance you have to win the game.

As the financial crisis lingers on, IUL policies will be actively pursued by investors who are deemed insurable, or able to pass underwriting guidelines.  Truth be known, many corporations are now implementing IUL into their business practices in order to protect liquid assets and key employees.  This multibillion dollar industry could very well prove to be a multitrillion dollar industry over the next decade.  These policies will soon start to replace pretax deferred compensation plans that are completely taxable upon withdrawal, not to mention have severe restrictions on both what age you can withdrawal the funds at without penalty and restrictions on how much you are able to deposit each and every year.  Rest assured, investors that adopt income planning solutions to offset both future volatility and rising income taxes will be much more equipped to deal with an uncertain future.        

Thursday, June 21, 2012

A Paradigm Shift of Income Planning


The retirement crisis is likely to continue given the direction our pension plans are heading.  It is no secret that the traditional pension plan is pretty much unheard of in the private sector.   Today, your only real hopes of receiving a pension are through a government job.  Even at that, state and federal governmental authorities are struggling to make the payments on a monthly basis.  This is all the more reason why employees need to take their retirement needs into their own hands. 

With the lower yields, pension plan administrators have to take on much more risk in order to keep up with the billions of dollars in monthly payment obligations.  Many payment obligations today were designed decades earlier when the economy could favor annual yields of 7 -8%.  The global recession yields today are closer to 2%.  So in order to make up difference, administrators are turning to higher risk investments, many in the form of junk bonds.  Unfortunately, higher yield potential comes with a greater chance of default.

U.S. pension plan managers are investing large amounts of capital into smaller speculative-grade borrowers, trying to yield the magic 8% yield needed for their payment obligations.  Much of this debt is from smaller start-up companies looking for capital to try and capture a small portion of a saturated market.   Borrowers with less than $500 million in annual revenue are paying much higher returns since big banks have decreased small business lending by 12% since 2008.  Big banks have decreased their lending to these smaller companies due to the default ratios they were experiencing.  None the less, fund managers are actively pursuing these debts due to the Federal government’s promise to hold interest rates low through 2014. Unfortunately, these are the risks fund managers are being forced to take on in order to make these overwhelming payment obligations.  This is a destructive trend, and regrettably a necessary evil.        

According to a study by the Pew Center on the States in Washington, states were $1.38 trillion short of their retirement obligations in 2010; which was up 9% from the year prior.  These numbers include $757 billion in underfunded pension obligations and $627 billion short in retirement health.  These numbers will continue to snowball with low interest rates making it impossible for this trend to continue without exploring alternate forms of revenue. 

A few weeks ago voters in San Diego and San Jose, California approved measures to restructure benefits for municipal workers in cities that could not afford them.  Several states including Wisconsin, Indiana, and Ohio have already started to limit collective bargaining for public employees, and have started cutting benefits accordingly.  These limitations include reduced payouts for pensions and drastically less protection of healthcare benefits.  Many other states, including Texas, are trying to renegotiate less favorable benefits for teachers and state administrators in order to help cut costs.  Eventually, government pensions are likely to go away in exchange for a deferred compensation plan, following the suit of the private job sector. 

It is no secret where this is heading.  We are seeing a paradigm shift from the responsibility of the employer to the employee.   Employees today are being forced to be more self reliant with respect to health care and retirement obligations.  Relying on employer or governmental obligations is proving to be a trend of the past.  Because of this, many employees are redirecting their deferred compensation plans to vehicles that will yield an income stream within retirement.   Vehicles not dependent upon a fund manager yielding needed returns, but instead with income guarantees backed by cash reserve pools.   These income streams are guaranteed for life and use income account values (non-cash values) to determine the amount of income one is eligible for at a given age (usually from ages 50 to 90). 

Failing to adapt to these market trends is going to result in Americans struggling throughout their retirement years because of lack of income.  Social Security and pensions simply will not exist for many in the coming years.  I believe that every US citizen under the age of 50 should not count on much, if any, social security benefits being available to them starting at the age of 62.  Furthermore, when you take into account that over 90% of workers today are not being offered pensions, the idea of a lifetime income becomes very attractive.  Once again, adaptation is the key.   Those who fail to secure their income needs for retirement can count on being a future burden to this country.         

Friday, June 15, 2012

Why Maslow's Theory Contradicts Traditional Retirement Planning


For many, the approach to retirement planning is in direct conflict to Maslow’s hierarchy of needs.   The approach to retirement is working counter intuitive to the traditional planning approach.  For the first time since the 1920’s, the American employee is approaching retirement without the basic core needs being addressed.   We have never approached an epidemic of this magnitude before.   Those who have the majority of their retirement income, or deferred compensation plans, at risk without addressing proper income planning are likely to become a burden within their retirement.  The good news is it’s not too late to protect your retirement with a guaranteed income stream for life.   

Maslow’s hierarchy of needs was introduced in 1943 by Abraham Maslow, which identifies the core roots of developmental psychology.   The ideology of this concept shows how basic human needs must be met in order for decisions to be formed with success.  The point being you can’t formulate a sound financial decision without addressing basic needs, such as establishing where you live and how you plan to pay the bills.  So in theory, you shouldn’t be subjecting all your retirement funds to risk when you have failed to provide an income stream. 

Maslow’s hierarchy has five basic platforms.  The first level of this 5 step model is the physiological stage, which identifies the basic needs of the human body: food, water, shelter, etc.  The second level is safety, third is love/belonging, fourth is esteem/confidence, and finally self – actualization; the ability to make a sound decision once all your basic needs (in that order) are met.  Only when the first level of needs is satisfied can the next stage be approached, and so on.  The second level of Maslow’s hierarchy is putting many retirement dreams at risk.  The safety level requires that the needs of employment (income), resources, and property should be adequately addressed before you can proceed to the next level of love/belonging (third level).   Without the security of income during retirement, the basic financial needs of housing, health, and consumption fail to exist.  This is the equivalent of hiring an interior decorator when you don’t have an income stream to pay for the mortgage.   In other words, once again, it is counter intuitive to subject your retirement funds to market risk when you haven’t established an income stream to meet your basic needs.    

The foundation of the traditional financial planning model is failing to address the need for income in retirement.  This is going to cause severe problems moving forward.  It is no secret that the last decade has commonly been referred to as the lost decade.  Most retirement savings plans, such as deferred compensation plans, are totally exposed to market risk causing most retirement plans to be delayed by 10 plus years accordingly.  When you take into account that most employees from Generation X, and many baby boomers not yet retired, do not have a pension to meet their basic safety needs; it isn’t difficult to figure out we are approaching a dire situation.

Today, the congressional approval ratings are at the lowest they have been in US history; and the faith in our financial sector is not too far behind.    Investors are fleeing securities, causing the 10 year US Treasury to reach record lows below 1.5%.  So when you take into account that the Federal Reserve is getting closer to another round of “quantitative easing”, any entry level financial professional can tell you these actions are working in direct conflict with the norm and are not without consequence.  Many experts believe that these actions are likely to cause a bond bubble that would in turn throw the market into panic mode by driving the value of bonds south when interest rates are forced to rise in hyperinflation.

The actions of our country dealing with this financial crisis are short term solutions designed to buy time in hopes that a contingency plan presents itself.  There is no history of Federal spending of this magnitude to help form a logical end result; so in essence we are approaching this blind.  All one can do is protect, or ensure, their basic needs during retirement with contractual agreements in order to have the best chance to make sound decisions.  Insurance repositories have identified the need for an income stream within retirement, which acts as a replacement to the pension, and have delivered accordingly.   There is no other industry on the planet that offers lifetime guarantees that are unaffected by future market conditions.  

Without meeting the basic needs of Maslow’s hierarchy, panic and desperation set in and can lead to unsound financial decisions.  Investors who fail to have an income stream are likely to participate in bigger risks in order to “catch up” their retirement goals, exposing themselves to more volatility.  There is no way to know how the crisis will play out; however, when you protect your future needs with a guaranteed income, you will be well equipped to handle any turbulent times ahead.   Those who fail to have an income stream, or pension, in place will regret not doing so; especially once entering retirement. 

Monday, June 11, 2012

Why Spain is unlikely to continue on its financial path


Recently the growing Euro concerns are being shifted towards Spain, and rightfully so.  When you take into consideration that Spain’s economy is twice the size of Greece, Portugal, and Ireland combined, it’s becomes clear why it is a serious concern for the EU.  Spain’s financial crisis is arguably more of a question of morality than a true financial crisis, at least not yet. 

Spain’s bank concerns center around BFA-Bankia, which was formed in 2010 as a merger from 7 struggling savings banks.  When Bankia’s market value plummeted by 43%, it was nationalized by Spain on May 9th 2012.  Today, the bank’s assets are equal to 1/3 of the county’s assets.  To protect this interest, just recently Spain was given $120 billion Euros as an economic stimulus in order to try and recapitalize their banking system.  Unfortunately, this is the least of Spain’s problems and the aid of additional funds is likely to throw Spain further in the red down the road; and seemingly sooner than later.  Many professionals believe that artificial growth is today’s true culprit in Spain’s financial crisis. 

Since the fall of the housing peak in 2007, Spain has approached its foreclosure crisis quite differently.  In order to protect the values of the 329,000 properties that were in foreclosure, Spain offered 100% financing with many loans going as interest only loans.  This financing model is only available to bank owned properties, and to no one else.  This has caused the home values in Spain to drop by only 22% according to Mr. Encinar, CEO of Idealista.com (a Spanish property website), whereas values in Ireland have dropped by over 60% since their peak in 2007.  Mr. Encinar speculates that the decline in housing values without artificial support (the 100% financing) would be at least twice what it is today.  

The construction industry in Spain is a different but equally shocking story.  For years Spain has relied on home and office building as a source of growth, as it is feared that without this growth the country may have too much of an uphill battle.  Builders in Spain are continuing to build despite a massive inventory of vacant homes.  Spain is allowing this because construction accounted for more than 20% of their GDP at the height of the boom, and it is argued that Spain does not want to lose this momentum.  According to Ruben Manso, an economist at consulting firm Mansolivar & IAX, “There has been a lot of cheating going on where banks have lent developers new money, classed as new lending, so they can pay off their original loans”.  Old loans that should have triggered credit lines pulled were instead deemed as paid in good standing.  These unscrupulous measures were put into place in order to keep prices artificially high, giving the illusion of a growing nation.  

This artificial demand for pricing will not be able to continue with the high unemployment rate of 24%.  As this process continues, their fiscal cliff gains more elevation day in and day out, which in turn will likely spur a devastating financial drop.  “Spain has engaged in a policy of delay and pray.  The problem hasn’t been quantified by anyone because there is a huge pressure not to tell the truth” says Mikel Echavarren, CEO of Irea, a corporate finance company in Madrid specializing in the real estate industry.         

Friday, June 8, 2012

Why Financial Planning Will Fail Many Retirement Dreams


Over the last few years I have met many Americans, either already in or nearing retirement, who have told me that they have been urged to “stay the course” with their portfolio.  These investors are putting their retirement dreams in a philosophy that utilizes projections, and not guarantees.  The problem is many investors are hoping to retire in the next 10 -20 years and are nowhere near their long term goals.  Considering that the S & P 500 has yielded a negative return from 01/01/2000 to 01/01/2012, many portfolios are on track to either have retirement severely delayed, or not be able to retire at all.  What many Americans do not know is that this planning approach is severely flawed, and is unlikely to achieve the desired results. 

Most financial planners who work with current or converted (usually to an IRA) deferred compensation plans are utilizing a planning system that is missing a vital component.  Most of their clients do not have an income stream, or pension, for retirement.  Rule number one in investing; don’t put at risk what you cannot afford to lose.  It is counterintuitive to expose your entire retirement plan to market risk when you have not established an income stream to meet your basic needs.

Before this flaw can be understood, it is crucial to understand the history of the financial planning model.  Beginning in the 1950’s, financial planning revolved around precautionary savings and diversification strategies to manage personal wealth.  Sound familiar?  Today, the financial planning model has not strayed too far from its roots.  Understand that throughout the 1940’s to the late 1970’s there was very little volatility in the market.   Through the protection of the Glass Steagall Act, there was little if any need to change the traditional planning model.  The Glass Steagall Act was put into place after the Great Depression to separate the banking, investing, housing, and insurance sectors, serving as a shield of protection against greed and volatility.  Confidence soared in this model due to steady growth and very little volatility.   This caused the economy to grow stronger which inevitably evolved into an appetite for higher risk and better returns.  This appetite spurred a massive joint effort to deregulate the banking industry in order to try to maximize profits without any restrictions, which ultimately resulted into our global recession today.

The financial planning method used today is based on a model from over 50 years ago.  In the 1950s there were two main assumptions that do not exist for working Americans today, and will likely never exist again.  First, it was assumed that every US citizen born was to receive social security in retirement without question.  Secondly, every American that at least graduated High School would enter a firm of their chosen industry, and was expected to climb the ranks from the bottom up (in the same firm).  In exchange for their services, every working American expected to have a pension in retirement.   Those Americans who were not working for a pension were considered poor planners, or were usually thought to struggle within retirement.   When they couldn’t support themselves in retirement they often became a burden to their family and society as a whole. 

When you use this traditional financial planning model today, the assumptions needed to make this model work do not exist.  Ask yourself the following questions.  Do you have a pension in place for retirement?  Are you planning on receiving social security in retirement that is taken out of your paycheck each and every month?  Do you think it’s possible to retire by the age of 70?  If so, how do you plan on doing this? These questions never had to be addressed for retirees; and are questions that today’s working Americans are going to regret not asking. 

The next generation of retirement is going to cause a whole new set of problems.  Today’s working class is approaching retirement with less than a glimmer of hope in receiving social security, and the thought of having a pension for retirement today is comical.  Instead, employers are providing deferred compensation plans in exchange for the once desired pension plan.  These deferred compensation plans have been lucky to break even over the last 12 years.  So if this is the case; why is the focus on hedging against risk (jumping out of one volatile market to be placed into another) when the real threat is a lack of income?

The only way to receive a guaranteed contractual income steam is through financial guarantees.  Since investment banks utilize a business philosophy of leveraging assets (borrowing funds) in order to make money, they can’t offer financial guarantees.  This is why investment banks are forced to purchase FDIC Insurance in order to offer guaranteed accounts like CD’s and checking accounts.  Only through non leveraged assets (showing total assets exceeding total liabilities on a financial sheet) can a set income stream be guaranteed for life.  Insurance Repositories that specialize in fixed assets can do this through a differentiated proven result.  Instead of hedging against risk, these companies implement formulas (non cash values) to compound and withdrawal funds for a lifetime.   Typically the longer you wait the more income you are eligible to receive, and even offer liquidity features absent in the traditional pension plan.  How can they guarantee this income?  Through acquired legislation, these companies are required to hold cash reserves to protect the interests of depositors (money protected against unforeseen events in the future). 

Volatility will continue moving forward.  Today our only defense against the volatility (brought on by toxic assets) is to hope that the Federal government will cut a check at the expense of every tax payer, regardless of whether you invest in the market or not.  Investors who continue to try and “stay the course” in this environment without addressing adequate income planning (lifetime income) will eventually fall by the way side.   If you are not preparing yourself with proper income planning in retirement, you will become tomorrow’s burden.    Unfortunately, the financial planning philosophy is unlikely to change until the nation is forced to deal with Generation X retiring with no pensions or social security to count on (at least 10-15 years out).  At that point it will be too late for many.  In today’s financial environment if you fail to adapt, you will likely fail to retire.    

Thursday, June 7, 2012

Death of the Traditional Pension Plan


The traditional pension plan is a concept from the past that is likely to never come back to the American culture.  The concept of the pension plan is ingrained into the fabric of our country’s roots, and Generation X is going to be the first generation in US history that will not experience the benefits of this retirement plan.   Through adamant deregulation of the investment banking industry from the early 1980s throughout the 1990s, deteriorating market conditions have caused corporations to steadily abandon the traditional pension plan.     

The first pension plans in the US were given to veterans of the Revolutionary War, and more extensively in the Civil War.  The promise for a guaranteed paycheck in exchange for your services to your country was an attractive motivator for soldiers, and still is today (and rightfully so).   The concept of this idea caught wind and extended to state and local governments through the late 19th century.  This unique retirement plan attracted several employees to governmental jobs and helped grow our government accordingly.

The first organized civilian pension plan was offered in 1920 through the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS).  This organization provided retirement, disability, and survivor benefits for nongovernmental employees.  It was the first of its kind on US soil.  Once the CSRS was formed, the American dream of retirement became a reality for civilians.  The CSRS remained in power until 1987 when it was renamed Federal Employees Retirement System (FERS).

After the Great Depression, Wall Street integrated its entire financial planning ideology around the concept of the pension plan.  Since income planning was not an issue, thanks to the popular pension plan and social security, the accumulation of funds to supplement retirement took center stage.  This financial planning practice turned into a multibillion dollar industry for several decades.  This was able to happen because the Glass Steagall Act limited Wall Street on the amount of risk they could take on by separating financial services, which in turn allowed for consistent growth that fueled the economy and embedded the pension as the retirement dream in the US.

 The traditional pension plan started to fade quickly in the latter part of the 1980s.  Wall Street’s attempt to deregulate the financial sector, and overturn the Glass Steagall Act, was unfortunately starting to prove successful.  After the Monetary Control Act of 1980, banks were allowed to dictate what interest rates they were able to pay on CDs and fixed accounts as well as what interest rate they wanted to charge on mortgage loans.  With this act, some banks started to pay CD rates as high as 20% and charged interest rates on home loans as high as 20% as well (rates that never reached this level before).  Prior to this act, home loan interest rates were federally regulated to prevent such actions.  This ultimately led to the recession of the 1980’s and for the first time in our US history the number of companies offering traditional pension plans started to decline. 

Deregulation continued to take its toll throughout the 1990s and allowed the investment banks to control all the financial sectors without any limitations.  Once again, prior to 1980 the Glass Steagall Act prohibited these actions from taking place and in turn allowed the market to sustain positive growth for several decades.  Eventually, the actions of our top investment banks brought upon the Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), which ultimately led to the Financial Collapse of 2008.  The rest is recent history. 

The steady decline of the pension plan in the 1980s was replaced with an escalating number of deferred compensation plans.  The burden of retirement was placed on the employee, as most employers could not afford to pay the pensions. Over the last 12 years most deferred compensation plans have yielded a negative return, drastically delaying retirement for many.  Volatility continues to be the norm and the only real remedy is the hopes of the Federal government cutting a check at the tax payer’s expense. 

Without refocusing long term planning efforts to income planning, this trend is likely to continue.  Most experts today agree that Americans under the age of 50 will only see a fraction of what social security pays today.  Furthermore, with the vast majority of Americans without a pension for retirement, most will be walking into retirement with near zero income.  Those who fail to act on contractual income guarantees will fall victim to this retirement trap, and their only hope is to rely on a deferred compensation plan that has at best broken even over the last decade.  Bottom line, the traditional financial planning method is not working, and will continue to deteriorate the American dream of retirement.

Today the only promise of income planning for life is offered through the Insurance industry.  Instead of focusing on hedging against risk for the investor, they focus on guaranteed payouts through a non cash value account known as an income account value.  In exchange for a lump sum amount, an investor can guarantee an income stream for life while having access to the cash value as well (a feature the traditional pension plan failed to offer).  This payment is guaranteed regardless of future market conditions through protected cash reserve pools.  The longer one waits for an income stream, typically the more income they will receive. 

During the financial collapse of 2008 the Insurance industry had record sales utilizing lifetime income.  The need for income planning could not be more important.  Investors are starting to realize that a paycheck for life is outweighing the need to try and beat the market within a global recession.  Make no mistake about it, those who fail to utilize proper income planning are likely to never retire; or at best severely delay their retirement.    

Friday, June 1, 2012

Market Drops over 1100 Points in the Span of a Month


In the last month, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by leaps and bounds.  On 05/02/2012, the Dow Jones closed at 13,268.  Today, on 06/01/2012, slightly after the opening bell, the Dow Jones is at 12,165, which is over a 1,100 point drop. 

Disappointing job data was released today, accelerating our unemployment rate to 8.2%.  New employees hired in the US (nonfarm jobs) came in over 80,000 jobs short of economist projections.  From a housing standpoint, nationwide home values continue to suffer.  It was released this week that 26% of all home sales in the US were foreclosed properties, which are almost always purchased at significant price deductions.  The deteriorating economy has caused the 15 year fixed mortgage to dip below 3%, making this the lowest 15 year fixed rate of all time.  US Growth also decreased.  The first quarter US growth rate dropped to 1.9%, down from a projected growth of 2.2%.  At the end of the 4th quarter of 2011, the growth rate was at 3%.  Unfortunately, this trend is likely to continue. 

Internationally, the Euro nations continue to suffer.  Greece polls suggest that the majority of the citizens favor anti-bailout measures, which is a change from the previous week.   The fear of Greece abandoning the Euro is, now more than ever, becoming a harsh reality.   The combined unemployment of the Euro nations is at a record high of 11%.  Furthermore, Spain is facing a banking crisis.  Earlier this week the European Central Bank (ECB) denied one of Spain’s main banks a bailout of over 19 billion dollars (US dollars).  Over the next couple of weeks I feel Spain’s financial woes will take up more of the spotlight.     

Most experts believe that volatility will continue forward.  Because of this, investors are fleeing to US Treasuries, which has caused a back to back record low for the 10 year US treasury bonds to fall below 1.656%.  This surge to US bonds has caused the strength of the US dollar to temporarily increase in value.